Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.147203 0.157216 0.167655 0.179369 0.192169 0.205755 0.221299
2026-01-25 0.127757 0.142127 0.157927 0.176673 0.198416 0.222973 0.252992
2026-02-01 0.119364 0.136486 0.156007 0.180083 0.209220 0.243648 0.287871
2026-02-08 0.110544 0.129054 0.150749 0.178322 0.212825 0.255099 0.311648
2026-02-15 0.104282 0.123923 0.147494 0.178246 0.217877 0.268038 0.337664
2026-02-22 0.097554 0.117627 0.142192 0.174948 0.218223 0.274539 0.355256
2026-03-01 0.092862 0.113491 0.139203 0.174197 0.221537 0.284810 0.378386
2026-03-08 0.089433 0.110697 0.137659 0.175081 0.226873 0.297918 0.406290
2026-03-15 0.085040 0.106380 0.133833 0.172569 0.227230 0.303909 0.424075
2026-03-22 0.081568 0.103073 0.131122 0.171336 0.229163 0.312087 0.445570
2026-03-29 0.079711 0.101800 0.131034 0.173660 0.236206 0.328054 0.480301
2026-04-05 0.076708 0.098821 0.128439 0.172234 0.237589 0.335504 0.501923
2026-04-12 0.073608 0.095615 0.125430 0.170115 0.237892 0.341440 0.521829
2026-04-19 0.070539 0.092332 0.122171 0.167455 0.237202 0.345745 0.539351
2026-04-26 0.069525 0.091867 0.122862 0.170641 0.245656 0.365162 0.584861
2026-05-03 0.067128 0.089336 0.120454 0.168998 0.246352 0.371843 0.608093
2026-05-10 0.065348 0.087614 0.119136 0.168927 0.249509 0.382779 0.640130
2026-05-17 0.062835 0.084734 0.115991 0.165850 0.247546 0.384752 0.655206
2026-05-24 0.061124 0.082963 0.114417 0.165150 0.249443 0.393515 0.684285
2026-05-31 0.059919 0.081887 0.113834 0.165975 0.253915 0.407099 0.724352
2026-06-07 0.057959 0.079623 0.111361 0.163631 0.252813 0.410464 0.743645
2026-06-14 0.056404 0.077914 0.109673 0.162481 0.253694 0.417501 0.771362
2026-06-21 0.055744 0.077528 0.110002 0.164649 0.260504 0.436112 0.826218